21 Century Business Review Interview

“21 Century Business Review” is issued by the Nanfang Media Group, and is a monthly business journal under the 21 Century newspapers and magazines system. It was founded on 1st September 2004, and has attracted over 1 million readers by now with its “one journal + one website + APP + Wechat account” all-round media coverage and the ability to create videos, cartoons, and H5. 21 Century Business Review focuses on business strategies, logics, ideas, channels, and modes. By commenting from professional and exclusive perspectives, it demonstrates the most advanced business models in the world and their effective reflections on business in China. Here’s the English text of my interview in 21 Century Business Review.

Would you please brief on the readers the origin of AI ideology, and in which direction it would guide the future of mankind?

We have always dreamt of non-human minds, ever since we humans became conscious beings. Those minds were often disembodied – think of invisible spirits – or embodied in animals, trees, rivers, gods. All cultures have stories of robot-like creatures, and the more technology advanced those stories guided much of what engineers and scientists strived for: the creation of machines with intellectual capabilities, namely computers. Artificial Intelligence is the logical continuation of this age-long quest to create an artificial human-like being, and in the process understand deeper what makes us human. We have now reached a historical milestone in this quest. We have created “specialized”, narrow, Artificial Intelligence, which can act as a cognitive amplifier, as the means to scale human intelligence at an exponential level. Equipped with such a technology we have the potential to solve some of the most complex problems that face humanity, such as poverty, health and well-being, environmental degradation, energy, space exploration and many more. If we use and develop AI wisely, the 21st century can be a century of science, prosperity and progress for all humanity.

In your opinion, philosophy should become the core course for majors of science and engineering, for it can help locate the key of AI. Why?

For three main reasons: first because philosophy is essential thought-engineering, in other words you need philosophy in order to examine your thoughts and ensure that they reflect the values that you aspire for.

Secondly, because philosophy tests the limits of certainty by creating doubt, and doubt is essential for progress. If you are certain about something your natural reaction is to defend your position. Scientists and engineers should always keep an open mind and invite criticism. We cannot build systems that could affect millions of lives by becoming blind and deaf to other ideas and criticism.

Thirdly, and most importantly, because scientists and engineers need philosophy in order to develop ethical systems. We need to have a balanced approach to problem-solving that includes the requirements for human well-being, safety, and happiness, and not just for better performance.

Warnings on AI mainly focus on employment, but according to you, if a machine is granted “true livelihood”, what would be the most urgent threat to mankind in the future?

I do not think that AI is a danger to humanity, quite the opposite. I believe that this technology has the potential to accelerate human progress. However, like all powerful technologies, there is a danger of misuse. For instance, creating autonomous systems that can be used against enemies in war, by completely removing humans from the decision loop, can lead to a new arms race with devastating consequences. We are still far from developing human-level, “general artificial intelligence” but if, for the sake of argument, we imagine that one day we do indeed create such a system, then granting it “agency” should be the logical thing to do. In fact, we do not need to go so far in technological advancement in order to grant “agency” and “legal responsibilities” to an intelligent machine. I can easily think of a driverless car being a “legal entity”. We already have non-human entities that have legal rights and responsibilities – they are called “companies”. Intelligent systems could be governed by the same laws of incorporation, including liability and tax laws.

Would you please speculate on the conditions with which the “AI singularity point” would occur?

Advocates of the “AI Singularity” claim that human-like, general artificial intelligence is a certainty, and that it will come about in a couple of decades because of the exponential way by which computer power increases, the so-called “Moore’s Law”. In my book “In Our Own Image” I am refuting their arguments. One of the reasons that I do so, is that I cannot see how we can possibly develop general artificial intelligence when we cannot yet define what intelligence is. In fact it not just a question of definition, but of understanding the nature of intelligence. We do not know why we are conscious, or how conscious comes about in the brain. We have models and abstractions about neural processes, and some of them are already used in artificial deep neural networks to emulate machine learning. But we confuse “models” with “reality”. Our brains do not run software, which is the other big reason that makes me doubt the AI Singularity. The only possible way I can see us developing general artificial intelligence is by completely rethinking hardware, as I describe in my book, and making it resemble more closely our brain’s biological architecture. In other words, by developing “neuromorphic” systems without the current software-hardware dichotomy; for instance using memristors and neuristors. But if we do manage to build such systems of some complexity, and those systems begin to show behaviours that resemble human consciousness (for instance, emotions, introspection, etc.) then indeed we would be reaching a singularity point in human history of great significance. But not in the way that the AI Singularity advocates describe, i.e. not in that those machines will replace humans and take over the world, possibly destroying us in the process. Such intelligent machines will provide the key to understanding our own minds, and possibly expand them beyond our current imagination. They will be our allies, not our foes, on a new, epic journey in unravelling the deepest mysteries of the universe.

With the development of AI technology, the society would undergo tremendous changes. From the perspective of education, what suggestions do you have for parenting?

My first intuition is to always trust my child. They grow into a world that is different from the world that their parents – me and my wife – grew in. When I was a child we did not have a television or a telephone. Children nowadays have a natural affinity to digital technologies, in itself proof of the agility of the human mind. Beyond trusting our children we should encourage them to develop skills in three main areas. Firstly, on working with others as a team. Human collaboration has always been the key to success, but in the AI-era those who have developed good social and communication skills will be the natural leaders of tomorrow. Secondly, to think synthetically; by that I mean to be able to combine many perspectives in solving a problem. Lastly, the ability to continuously learn and relearn, for they and the generations that will follow, must be able to reinvent themselves several times in their lives.

 In the future, how would you participate in and accelerate the development of AI technology?

With a team of colleagues we have a common vision to democratize AI development, by opening it up to small teams, startups, and individuals. There are too many silos and obstacles today in AI development, particularly on the availability of large data sets to train machine learning algorithms. This reality creates a very uneven playing field between large corporations and smaller firms. The field must be levelled if we aspire to make the most of human ingenuity, and I’m currently working with those colleagues in formulating an innovative AI development platform that will do exactly that.

Advertisements

The Chinese edition of “In Our Own Image”

Today I received copies of the Chinese Edition of my book “In Our Own Image: the history and future of Artificial Intelligence” sent by my Chinese publisher China Citic Press.

InOurOwnImage_Chinese

To celebrate the arrival of the books a good friend send me this, in Chinese: 正如中国有一句讲到:要想富先修路 – it means (I m told) that “everything happens for a reason”, a Chinese saying. I hope there is truth to this saying, for I am ever so curious to learn and understand as much as I can about China, and how this great country is reclaiming its rightful place in the world…